Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.104716 0.161821 0.229118 0.311633 0.407829 0.514558 0.640205
2025-12-07 0.033106 0.093222 0.182292 0.307829 0.468925 0.660354 0.897876
2025-12-14 0.007048 0.054119 0.146006 0.292150 0.493135 0.742676 1.062009
2025-12-21 0.001278 0.042235 0.144032 0.319110 0.569520 0.887672 1.301135
2025-12-28 NaN 0.033905 0.143857 0.345922 0.643834 1.028821 1.534706
2026-01-04 NaN 0.024563 0.137119 0.360113 0.699403 1.145348 1.737670
2026-01-11 NaN 0.022162 0.144563 0.396696 0.786219 1.302272 1.991122
2026-01-18 NaN 0.018347 0.146564 0.423405 0.858655 1.440462 2.221375
2026-01-25 NaN 0.011635 0.136098 0.426744 0.896278 1.532411 2.393244
2026-02-01 NaN 0.003602 0.109554 0.396600 0.881871 1.553608 2.474277
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000096 0.081924 0.357633 0.850220 1.549024 2.520390
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.068426 0.343940 0.855691 1.593607 2.628722
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.064382 0.352062 0.898383 1.693231 2.813706
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.055858 0.347839 0.920756 1.765024 2.963434
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.043941 0.331131 0.920521 1.803758 3.068698
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.048244 0.359908 0.998066 1.953588 3.321454
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.052451 0.388471 1.075368 2.103249 3.574234
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.052061 0.403560 1.129524 2.219933 3.783466
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.059687 0.442388 1.224843 2.395789 4.071566
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.063724 0.470675 1.302054 2.545856 4.325629
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.059405 0.474209 1.336529 2.634789 4.498645
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.044566 0.442286 1.307944 2.632311 4.549471
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.029403 0.400924 1.259475 2.599125 4.557805